Recent content by Zephyrus001

  1. Z

    What the asteroid with a 1-in-48 chance of hitting Earth in 2032 looks like (images)

    If you want to read more details about NASA's Sentry System, it's available. There are even papers to read if you want to dig in more. I'd caveat this saying that the in the primer linked below, they are describing the whole monitoring process which would be too cumbersome and resource...
  2. Z

    What the asteroid with a 1-in-48 chance of hitting Earth in 2032 looks like (images)

    I doubt that the distribution density function is modeled uniformly across some elliptical surface. I say this because you'd need some method for establishing confidence bounds in the first place. There are back-of-the-napkin ways of doing this, but even then you'd probably use a bivariate...