Good to see that some of what I have been saying here for ages is finally being taken seriously. The Laplacian view of determinism is like the average depth of the river. We are not able to predict, and deal with, every occurrence which might coincide with the orbit of planet Earth. Given the location and speed of every
observable asteroid, is not going to
cut it.
My old "
out of the Sun" argument is being partially ameliorated by the placement of observation sites away from Earth, so prior notice is being improved, but there are some threats totally beyond our control. There are rogue planets, or even rogue stars, not to mention mobile black holes, against which we are totally unable to defend. But without worrying against such extraordinary occurrences, there are much more mundane threats to be overcome.
For one thing, we are likely to be faced with an approaching asteroid (or other object) travelling at high speed, say 100 km per second. We have to send an interceptor to meet it, presumably also at high speed - and then stop our missile by reversing the relative motion to match the incomer. Not only that, but we have to position our vessel prior to the required action - not
trivial pursuits. And, these actions are also necessary against stray objects from the Kuiper Belt, or even an
Oumuamua.
OK, I freely admit that these occurrences may be highly unlikely, but, if we are faced with such eventualities, there will be no second chances. You may say that tornados or floods are unlikely to affect you, but does that stop you insuring your homes?
Cat
