billslug you are most likely right.
Having worked on Apollo Missions 8-17 including Experiments and Observations as well as Shuttle and Station Planning my opinion is two fold.
1. After 50+ years we are shorter than Apollo 8 in goals as it is human capable robotic mission only,
we do not know about real consumables such as oxygen and water use onboard.
Also why was South pole not part of mission? This could have supplemented hopefully planned orbiters and landers before astronauts go in Artemis 2 and 3.
2. The positive side is that at 10 times the cost per mission, and half century gap, at least these designs aim for long term survivability. We expect more robotic assistance in A2 and A3 missions and yet we are not seeing together the whole picture in 2025-30 time period.
Even though as we have discussed robotic missions being low cost low risk and are quicker, there is rich history from Gagarin and Glen to Apollo astronauts and ISS astronauts and hope humanity stays in near earth space at leas to Moon and hopefully Mars.
Can we expect Congress to be farsighted beyond 10+ years in funding such programs?
We have also missed Fusion, and Fuel CELL OPPORTUNITIES IN THE US FOR PAST 50 YEARS!
Thanks.
Ravi
(Dr. Ravi Sharma, Ph.D. USA)
NASA Apollo Achievement Award
Chair, Ontology Summit 2022
Senior Enterprise Architect
Particle and Space Physicist