N
newtonian
Guest
Critique and comments on my theory (i.e. my version)<br /><br />P = TxRxA<br /> <br />Where P = the upper limit of chemical reaction products in our universe since our universe began - 10^122<br /> <br />T = the time alloted for chemical reactions to proceed (in this case, the age of the universe) - 10^18 seconds<br /> <br />R = the upper limit of rate of chemical reactions - 10^24 per second is, of course, an overestimate.<br /> <br />A = the upper limit of atoms available for chemical reactions to proceed, less than 10^80 in our universe.<br /> <br />The extention of this theory to specific probabilities for specific reaction products is of course also part of my theory. <br /> <br />The next step: C is less than P.<br /> <br />C being the number of statistical proteins produced or any other specific reaction product.<br /> <br />C is also less than P divided by B [e.g. 10^122 divided by 10^112 = 10^10]<br /> <br />Where B is the predicted probability of C: 10^112<br /> <br />C divided by T = G<br /> <br />Where G is the predicted rate of formation of C during T.<br /> <br />10^10 statistical proteins divided by 10^10 years = one per year.<br /> <br />The law of large numbers also applies to my theory.<br /><br />In word form (Newtonian style): the larger the number of trials, also the larger the number of steps to the target chemical reaction product (e.g. a statistical protein) makes the predicted probability more certain. <br /><br />Critique is welcome, as are any comments.<br />Of course, the upper limits in the above calculation can be applied to many things, including the search for earth-like planets.<br /><br />And it can be incorporated into Drake's equation as a upper limit factor.<br />