Its seems both bigelow and spacex have a "if you build it they will come" atitude. As long as bigelow and spacex hold their current schedules, I would be surprised not to see a manned lunar base before 2030.job1207":3gto8ccl said:It is not at all clear just how much a Falcon X would cost. If NASA puts the rocket up for bids, then Spacex would bid on it. I cannot imagine that they would go for TWO heavy launchers however. For SpaceX to get that contract, it would take a leap, which it does not appear Congress is ready to do.
Spacex does have a lot of its plate, and so, they DO need to execute at a quickening pace in order to get all of the flights on their manifest into space.
I imagine that someone has a plan to go to the moon privately, but that would have to present a valid business plan before I would believe it is possible.