frodo1008,
Back about the time that we were getting ready to land people on the Moon, the whiz kids at NASA were examining the future, and thinking about sustainability. You didn't have to be a rocket scientist to know that throwing away huge rockets every flight was not going to cut it with the public. They wanted a totally reusable system, which would be as cheap as possible to operate. What they came up with was horizontal take-off, horizontal landing, two stage to-orbit system, which was supposed to carry 6- 8 passengers and a crew of 2. A flying wing-type craft was to carry the orbiter on its back to an altitude of about 50,000 feet, and then the orbiter would fly the rest of the way.
This is still the system that we need to build to get people to and from space cheaply. Launching straight up means that everything has to work perfectly, range conditions have to be ideal, and massive amounts of power have to be generated. All of these things add up to lots of money for every launch. But launching straight up is fighting the atmosphere, instead of using it to our advantage. The goal of a launch is to get the payload moving at orbital velocity, something on the order of 15,000 miles per hour. But we can't go really fast right off of the pad, because the atmosphere is so dense that it will rip our vehicle apart.
If we use an airfoil that is powered by engines, we can lift mass using the atmosphere. If our engines burn atmospheric oxygen, then that is less mass that has to be lifted initially. A wing built of composite materials, powered by large turbofan engines, accelerated beyond stall speed by a catapult, would be able to lift payloads far beyond what we think possible. Why? Because all of our experience with aircraft is with aircraft that must be able to accelerate to take-off speeds in the space of a mile or two, be able to support their entire weight on retractable landing gear, and be able to carry cargo inside the vehicle.
By changing the equation, providing a supporting carriage that stays on the ground, a catapult that can accelerate the vehicle over a distance of several miles, and an airframe designed purely for lift, we can achieve take-off weights on the order of 3 million pounds, and probably higher. This would allow a space plane weighing at least 1.5 million pounds to be carried to 50,000 feet altitude. At that height, you are already above the majority of the atmosphere, so the velocity of maximum aerodynamic pressure (max-Q) is around 2500 miles per hour.
A space plane igniting its engines and separating from the carrier wing will only be traveling at about 500 miles per hour. But it would be able to accelerate very rapidly, which would result in the vehicle gaining altitude as the planet curves away beneath it. By the time that the Solid Rocket Boosters separate from the shuttle, the External Tank is nearly half empty, yet the vehicle is only traveling a little over 1 mile per second. It must reach 5 miles per second to achieve orbit, but it can do that with only half the fuel the E.T. carries. Because that fuel is burned to create speed, not to fight the force of gravity!
By using aerodynamic lift instead of rocket power to climb through the thickest part of the atmosphere, we can drastically reduce the size of the rocket plane. We also can step back from using the most powerful fuel there is, with all of its attendant problems. By using kerosene instead of liquid hydrogen, we can avoid the issues involved in working with materials a few degrees above absolute zero, such as evaporation, icing, metal fatigue, etcetera. Especially as the flight to take-off altitude will last at least an hour.
The carrier wing will be able to land on its own undercarriage, returning to the take-off site. There, it can be refueled, serviced, and ready for another launch in a matter of hours, if need be. Launches could occur in less than ideal weather, including fog, and rain storms. The launch site would probably be near sea level, to provide the densest atmosphere possible for lift. The catapult will have to be miles in length, to allow for aborts.
This is the kind of system which would provide sustainable access to space. Building it should be the highest priority of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, because every nation involved in space exploration will be a customer. Until it is ready, we should keep the shuttles operational, even if they require updating.
Our long term survival depends upon our learning how to live and work in space, because we won't be able to go on doing what we have been here on Earth. Using resources from outside our ecosystem, processing those resources with energy from outside our ecosystem, in factories outside our ecosystem, this is the only way that we can maintain our technology in the long run.