NASA lowers impact risk of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 to 1 in 67 (phew!)

[Admin]

Breathe a sigh of relief! NASA has dropped the risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in 2032 to 1 in 67, just a day after it became the highest-risk asteroid since records began.

NASA lowers impact risk of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 to 1 in 67 (phew!) : Read more

 

[nonseq]

Has anyone told 2024 YR4,
yet?

 

[alfmagne]

What about the chances of 2024 YR4 hitting Luna?

 

[Unclear Engineer]

That is also changing. It went up to about 1% and then back down to about 0.8% from the articles I have been reading.

At one point, I had followed a link for 2024 YR4 that showed impact dates and probabilities for the Moon as well as Earth, but a quick look for that link just now did not turn it up for me.

Scientists would really love for it to hit the Moon, especially on the side facing Earth. That would give them some really nice data for tuning their impact models.

Of course, if there really is a continuous human presence on the Moon by 2032, then a hit there could still be of concern.