<p><BR/>Replying to:<BR/><DIV CLASS='Discussion_PostQuote'>The internet is full of so called “new theories” how does someone tell the good from the bad?In modern physics, what constitutes a scientific theory? Could someone list the most necessary and the not so necessary elements needed for a valid scientific theory?What would someone need to do in order turn a revolutionary new idea into a new theory? <br />Posted by jbachmurski</DIV></p><p>This is really a very good question. The more so because the concept of a physical theory is commonly distorted badly in popular useage. So let me try to address your question by describing both what a theory is and what a theory is not.</p><p>A theory is a model, usually expressed in mathematical terms, that describes natural phenomena. It does so by clearly defining the parameters that govern the phenomena and provides a means whereby the outcome of a physical process can be predicted accurately from the knowledge of those parameters at the start of the process together with a knowledge of the external inputs to the process. Further, the ability of the theory to make such predictions will have been verified by a large body of carefully controlled experiments or careful observations of nature itself. In classical physics the quintessential theories are Newtonian mechanics, Newton's theory of gravitation, and Maxwell's theory of electromagnetism. In modern physics the major theories are general relativity (the theory of gravity), quantum chromodynamics (the theory of the strong force), and quantum electrodynamics unified with the theory of the weak force (the electroweak theory). Directly related to classical mechanics are the somewhat lesser theories of thermodynamics and statistical mechanics and the theories of fluid mechanics. And sub-tier to these theories are a host of mathematical models and theories that run the gamut from plasma physics and solid state physics to cosmological theories like the big bang. These lower tier theories often involve approximations to the complete, but unwieldy and unsolvable models that come from the major theories but do provide significant predictive power when applied properly.</p><p>Now, we need to talk about what a theory is not. Most importantly a theory is neither a conjecture nor a hypothesis. Common useage confuses these terms. There is a place for a conjectcure, a hypothesis or just a plain guess. They are absolutely necessary to scientific progress. But only when a guess has been shown to be correct through controlled experiments or precise observations and clearly related to established theories can it be taken to be valid. The inflationary model of the early universe is a hypothesis. It is a very promisiing hypothesis, since it can be melded with real theories without apparent contradictions and since the available body of data is supportive of the predictions that can be made if one assumes the hypothesis to be true. But there is not yet enought evidence to elevate inflation to the level of an accepted theory. It does have the strudture and predictive power for a theory, just not yet sufficient experimental confirmation.</p><p>If you take away but one thing form this discussion I hope that it is enough to recognize that the statement that "Such and such is just a theory" is an incredibly ignorant assertion. </p><p> </p> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> </div>