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neutrino78x
Guest
halman":1lpt03bb said:Neutrino78x,
For a number of reasons, I am convinced that, eventually, all heavy, energy intensive, dirty industries will be based off planet. However, I envision the process taking a minimum of 100 years to completion, possibly longer. Right now, the cost of making something in space is nearly beyond measure. Our methods of accessing space are primitive, our technologies for surviving there in their infancy. But all of that will change, I am certain, as industry discovers the cost benefits of working outside our ecosystem.
Well sure, if you put it 100 years in the future, after we have all this infrastructure developed, I can only agree that it would be plausible at that point.
However, I would also add that 100 years from now, we will probably have advanced greatly the engineering process of extracting things from the ground.
The key word here, though, is industry. NASA is not the entity that would mine asteroids, any more than the Navy is the entity that mines deep sea oil and natural gas. Kerr McGee mines the deep sea, and Chevron ships transport the oil. The Navy doesn't make the oil platforms or the ships. If pirates attack the ships, the Navy will come to defend them. That's the government's role in all this.
The work involved in heating our homes and workplaces, and transporting people between their homes and work or school will soak up a great deal of the carbon allowances everyone will have to deal with if a sizable portion of the world's population achieves a standard of living anywhere near that of the United States.
True, if the current status quo continues, but why wouldn't developing countries use nuclear and renewable for their power, batteries for small cars, and hydrogen for bigger vehicles? The Green Economy is a big growth area right now. Sure, Africa could power everything with coal, but it seems illogical, given the abundance of sunshine. If I lived in Africa, I would have PV on the roof, and store power with batteries for the night. PV won't power industry, but that's where solar thermal, wind, and nuclear come in.
Dropping finished, or ready to assemble, goods into the atmosphere is almost free, apart from the container, heat shield, and parachutes, and that is importing energy into the ecosystem in the form of products which need no more energy intensive processing.
Yeah, that's true. I'm sure it will be a big part of the picture in the far future.
The two examples of ships you used are actually appropriate. The Enterprise is a starship, with Faster Than Light drive, power generation potential in the terawatt range, I would imagine, and capable of traveling from Earth to Jupiter in minutes. The Discovery is a primitive, fission powered vehicle, which requires several months to travel from Earth to Jupiter. But it is advanced enough to provide its crew with quarters under spin, to avoid muscle atrophy.
Yeah but halman, we are no where near to the point where we can build something like the Discovery. We can build Mars Direct capsules now.
I realize that there are people who are more than willing to travel to Mars in an Apollo capsule, just as there have been people willing to travel from Cuba to the US on open rafts. But just because something can be done does not mean that it should be done. A mission to Mars resulting in the loss of the crew could have very negative effects on our entire space exploration program at this early stage.
Well you risk your life whenever you go into space. Just like the current sailors in the present day Navy risk their lives when they go to sea. Especially those of us who served on submarines (although surface sailors would disagree with me of course lol).
But the Mars Direct capsules actually have more privacy than we do on submarines. These are Mars Direct capsules
Note the staterooms. Everybody gets their own. The only person on a submarine with that much privacy is the Captain! and even he shares the bathroom with the XO (2nd in Command).
This is where enlisted men sleep on a Trident submarine. Attack subs have even less room (on an attack sub, you share your bed with 2 other sailors; when 2 guys are awake, the 3rd is asleep, and they rotate).
Once we have established ourselves in space in terms of industry, there will be no turning back, And industrial development offers the greatest opportunity for the investment needed to develop and perfect our technology for existing outside of our fragile ecosphere.
Yeah, but that is for industry to develop. If there are to be government endorsed colonies, of which Jamestown was one, the place to do that would be Mars, where there is an atmosphere, abundant water, natural gravity, and lots of natural real estate.