> <i><font color="yellow">If you mean countries (and business) who will buy a seat from someone else (SpaceX, Russia) to go travel to an existing destination (Bigelow), to then do whatever they were going to do, it will be a much larger group.</font>/i><br /><br />If all goes well (keep your fingers crossed), then I think the concept of a space program will be radically different in about 5-15 years (a very short time from a space perspective). Consider the different ways you can become a space-faring nation:<ul><li>Buy a seat on Soyuz for a short, 2 week mission to ISS (about $20 million);<li> Buy a six-month slot on ISS (I bet Russia will start selling one of their slots, and one slot will always be rotated between the other (not US/Russia) members of ISS);<li> Rent/buy space on a Bigelow module; <li> Rent/buy an entire Bigelow module; <li> Rent/buy an entire Bigelow station.</li></li></li></li></li></ul><br />Meanwhile, you will be buying access to orbital facilities on probably one or more vehicles including Soyuz and/or Soyuz+ESA launching from Kourou, maybe Orion/Ares I (buy a seat?), SpaceX, Lockheed-Martin, Virgin Galactic, Rocketplane-Kistler, etc. I am hoping that there will be at least 2-3 means to LEO.<br /><br />Push this out to 2020-2025, and you might see similar activities toward the Moon.<br /><br />The key is that a "space program" is being outsourced. You buy a certain amount of "destination" from one group, and you buy "access" to that destination from another group.</i>