R
radarredux
Guest
> <i><font color="yellow">He does go on to say that we should not ignore lifting body research programs.</font>/i><br /><br />Thought: Go with the capsule for now and stick the lifting body effort under a DARPA-style R&D effort that, assuming it proves itself, can be integrated into the operation at a later date.<br /><br />The capsule design is a known quantity with a low development cost, a low risk of development failure, and quicker to turn into an operational system.<br /><br />The lifting body design holds more potential, but the lack of experience using lifting bodies to return things from orbit, past development failures such as the X-38 effort, and general unknowns in development time and costs should raise some red flags, especially for putting something like this so early in the critical path. A screw up at this early stage (and a lot of NASA programs have been cancelled over the years because of increased cost or technical difficulties) could put the whole vision at risk.<br /><br />Alternatively, just go with a capsule, then let NASA promise $X dollars to launch people into space, and see if a commercial venture can come up with a more attractive offer. For example, if someone can claim Bigelow's America's Space Prize, they could also provide the service to NASA. If the Klipper ship becomes a reality, perhaps an American company can buy a few or license the design from Russia and offer NASA the service. Finally, of L-M honestly feels their design could provide greater capability at a lower operational cost than the capsule, let them invest IR&D funds to develop initial prototypes and, if successful, NASA could commit to buying a certain number of launches (like SpaceX's recent $100 million DOD contract), or NASA could step up and finish funding the development of L-M's design.</i>