S
sphynx
Guest
EDITED NOTE FROM METEOR WAYNE:
Since Apophis has reappeared in the news, I have merged the 3 old existing threads into one for further discussion. The latest news is at the end of the thread.
It lacks a lot for the 2029, certain, but opportunities to do somewhat concrete with Apophis (2004 MN4), alone we will have them in their maximum approaches, that each 7 years are produced, that is to say the 2013 and the 2021.
Apophis, will pass to some 30,000 km of the Land in the 2029.
But just then, the terrestrial gravity will modify drastically its path and if we add it al margin of uncertainty (marked with the linea white in the image), we have that this mass of 350 meters with an equivalent destructive potential to 1000 Hiroshimas, will leave shot in a still impossible direction to predict.
The mayoria of the warnings they are referred al return of Apophis in the 2036, I refuse to accept that the danger be that, I believe that the brutal tug that will suffer Apophis in the 2029 will do that its orbit, save an increible coincidence, will not disturb again to the Earth.
On the contrary, I believe that the greater problem resides in the 2029 and with reference to the Moon.
In the graphic that I brought, originated in a flight simiulator of the Nasa is observed with clarity that when Apophis arrive at the Earth, our satellite will be in the possible road that take the asteroid once have grazed to our planet.
I call attention to this fact, only we should not know with accuracy the orbit of Apophis, also one must know what exact form considers since the radiation that receives in form uneven, will be another element of distortion of its path, and besides all the things, is necessary to know with accuracy where will be the Moon, in April 13, 2029, since Apophis, al to receive the gravitational of the Earth will deviate it and will accelerate in the direction that approximately will be ours satellite.
Excuse my badly management of the language.
From Argentina, a cordial greeting.
Sphynx
http://echo.jpl.nasa.gov/~ostro/mn4/
Since Apophis has reappeared in the news, I have merged the 3 old existing threads into one for further discussion. The latest news is at the end of the thread.
It lacks a lot for the 2029, certain, but opportunities to do somewhat concrete with Apophis (2004 MN4), alone we will have them in their maximum approaches, that each 7 years are produced, that is to say the 2013 and the 2021.
Apophis, will pass to some 30,000 km of the Land in the 2029.
But just then, the terrestrial gravity will modify drastically its path and if we add it al margin of uncertainty (marked with the linea white in the image), we have that this mass of 350 meters with an equivalent destructive potential to 1000 Hiroshimas, will leave shot in a still impossible direction to predict.
The mayoria of the warnings they are referred al return of Apophis in the 2036, I refuse to accept that the danger be that, I believe that the brutal tug that will suffer Apophis in the 2029 will do that its orbit, save an increible coincidence, will not disturb again to the Earth.
On the contrary, I believe that the greater problem resides in the 2029 and with reference to the Moon.
In the graphic that I brought, originated in a flight simiulator of the Nasa is observed with clarity that when Apophis arrive at the Earth, our satellite will be in the possible road that take the asteroid once have grazed to our planet.
I call attention to this fact, only we should not know with accuracy the orbit of Apophis, also one must know what exact form considers since the radiation that receives in form uneven, will be another element of distortion of its path, and besides all the things, is necessary to know with accuracy where will be the Moon, in April 13, 2029, since Apophis, al to receive the gravitational of the Earth will deviate it and will accelerate in the direction that approximately will be ours satellite.
Excuse my badly management of the language.
From Argentina, a cordial greeting.
Sphynx
http://echo.jpl.nasa.gov/~ostro/mn4/