"By the mid-2030s I believe we can send humans to orbit Mars and return them safely to Earth," President Obama said. "And a landing on Mars will follow, and I expect to be around to see it!"
At the rate we are slowing down it will be CHINA who claims the credit for landing on Mars. They can probably land by 2025, or even 2020. Why is that such a mystery? Even Russia has the capability.
Or, if it still is Americans, private enterprise from America (it will probably be several countries at once) will have to launch a commercialized effort, that includes selling products that come from Mars. One I can think of will be Martian Wine. It should be lined up as the FIRST Mars cash-crop. The soil appears to be excellent for it, and the taste will be the most expensive and exclusive on Earth, but it will sell and make a huge profit. There are plenty of rich folks that would pay a premium price for it. We will let the market decide the sales price. ($1000? $2000? $10,000 a bottle?) It also will depend on the grower, ya know, how much it is worth, like if its a FAMOUS winery in California already. "Martian Champagne, the finest on Earth!"
Another that comes to mind is ENERY. there is 32x more deuterium (heavy water has been discovered but is still mostly kept quiet) on Mars than occurs naturally on Earth. That stuff sells for MORE than platinum at $14,000 an ounce. We can create pulsating fusion reactors using deuterium pellets TODAY - in a magnetic bottle - the technology is 95% worked out but on hold. It just is not being implemented...yet. (They want to see how efficient the solar panels can get 1st, before introducing something that could pose a national security risk (H-bombs).
We must also realize, they just discovered LOTS of burnable methane on Mars - enough to take care of ALL our propulsion needs for the next 500 years...as long as we learn to sequester the carbon. Thanks. The trip up to establish an energy plant may pave the way to unlimited energy usage on Mars, which can also be exported. They are also discovering there is probably burnable hydrocarbons on Solar asteroids...so we ain't out of fossil fuels by a long shot, and the middle planets are chock full of methane - 100,000's of thousands of year's supply.
The latest theory? Maybe oil can be found off-planet too, as it seems to be a geological substance, not a biological as once thought. (Since they may have already discovered coal on an asteroid, could oils be far behind??? When they find some on Mars - the countries on this planet are going to go crazy, especially when it means NO MORE oil slicks in the Gulf. So - we have to keep our space program open for national economic security reasons.
But let's get back to Solar:
(Right now, we are nearing 29% on 1000w available per sq meter at noon = 300 watts.) It is possible once we get past 40% solar efficiency, the other energy sources are just tag-alongs, and the next leap will be battery technology. (Which I think will eventually lead to high tech high voltage capacitors for storage, because they recharge instantly. The only thing holding them back are the dielectrics. (membrane separation) 500,000 volts stored could power an electric car nicely for several hours, if not too much heat is lost in a voltage reducer. Well, anyway, it's loosely related (all our technology is), but back to Mars!
Another product might be Mars diamonds. Those 4 volcanoes in a triangulation just Northwest of the Solar System's biggest canyon, Val Marinarus, look like some mighty geology was going on. Diamonds are usually found at the base of volcanoes. Olympus Mons on Mars is about 75,000 feet high (15 miles). Our highest volcanoes are only 10% of that (7500 to 10,000 feet).
SIZE DOES MATTER.
If our Earth volcanoes can produce the occasional diamond the size of a football, projecting forward - it is possible there are diamonds at the base of the volcanoes the size of cars??? LOOK at their canyon 10x deeper than the Grand Canyon! If that simple conjecture is PLAUSIBLE - why the HELL aren't our corporations jumping up and down SCREAMING - WE WANT TO GO TO MARS NOW!!! - to make ridiculous amounts of money mining the planet??? Look, there's no CARBON scrubbers, pollution controls, regulations, and there is plenty of solar radiation with little cloud cover, just like California in the summertime. It's only diluted about 25%, so go for it! PLUS - every product made on Mars sells on Earth for a premium. Take about NEW jobs - there ya go! Mars has all the natural elements to BUILD cities, complete with farms, villas, and factories of all kinds. The atmosphere NEEDS to be thicker - so LOAD it up with MORE CO2 instead of chocking us here on Earth with it. Mars has enough atmosphere for AIRPLANES. the ARES project through NASA is still on the drawing boards. The first airplane on Mars, that will go sniffing for Methane. Don't they GET it???
We are overdue being a 2nd planet society.
We NEED the extra land for our food harvests when our crops on Earth start having pestilence problems, and just about everything else. We are getting dangerously close to starving more than a billion people on short notice. On Mars - there are no hurricanes, rain, Earthquakes we know about, or really super bad weather except the occasional dust-storm. (They just greenhouse it, and we eat it - simple yet elegant.) No, the soil is NOT poison. It's virgin soil, which plants LOVE to produce exquisite vegetables in, and all the CO2 we can pump in.
If we do not get a move on, we'll be begging for food for our 9 billion people by 2050. Instead of watching them die, we can start a new planet. (But we will not leave quietly, because they have waited too long - when the time comes, it will be like all hell breaking lose during the Gold Rush of the 1849'ers.) Let's hope nature doesn't bite us too hard before we are ready to start leaving the planet. If we delay much longer, we might go extinct before we make it. We need people on Mars producing food to feed an extra 3 billion just as soon as possible, and an extra 1 1/2 billion within 15 years, which indicates - we are already LATE.
We need at least 25,000 people living on Mars terraforming their area in earnest if humanity is going to survive, and be there by mid century, when Earth species are going extinct by 20,000 a year instead of 1000x a year currently. How bad is it? The UN is going to ban fishing in the Pacific for 2040.
What is more important - the science - or the humanity that generates the science to begin with?
Thanks,
ZipWizard