<font color="yellow">"...an answer that's 35% low..."</font><br /><br />I don't believe that drag constitutes 35% of the propellant/oxidizer usage. Anyway -- I still haven't gotten around to the dv & propellant calculations at that level yet. I just finished working them from another direction. I like coming at my numbers using two or more unrelated methods to act as a sanity check. Right now I'm looking at the dv of the Soyuz and the orbiters and using that as a basis for what the Dragon needs. I'l have a post on that shortly.<br /><br />Most recently, I wanted an estimate of the mass of the Dragon capsule that was unrelated to my current method (namely summing up estimates of the structure, plus my chosen equipment, TPS, etc.). I decided to work backwards from the Falcon IX uplift capacity of 9300kg. SpaceX has stated Dragon's capacity at 1400kg of pressurized cargo and 1700kg of unpressurized cargo to the ISS. This leaves ~6200kg of free uplift capacity for the booster. With the cargo out of the equation, we're left with the spacecraft and the propellant/oxidizer. If we come up with a reaasonably close estimate for the P/O -- then the remainder would be... Dragon.<br /><br />Looking at the Soyuz TMA -- from Astronautix, it masses ~7,220 kg with 900 kg of propellants for a total of ~8,120kg. If we assume that the Dragon masses at the full 9,300kg capacity of the F9, and a similar iSP, and that the propellant requirement scales up reasonably on a 1:1 basis to mass (a shakier assumption, but the mass numbers aren't far off, so we shouldn't miss by <b>too</b> much), then the Dragon's propellant would mass around 1000kg for a dv capability comparable to Soyuz. Subtracting this out of our figure above, we have a mass of ~5,200 kg for the Dragon capsule (plus the 'trunk' structure).<br /><br />Essentially every one of these numbers has wiggle-room. I expect SpaceX to be deliberately understating pressurized and unpressurized cargo mass numbers. Like