M
mrmorris
Guest
<font color="yellow">"I predict that the ESA will pick up where the french left off."</font><br /><br />You need to change the water in your Magic 8-Ball. <br /><br />Read the whole Astronautix post on the Hermes. It was rapidly going the way of the US shuttle, with costs ballooning rapidly. Until there is a need, and a capability to launch at rates near to what was originally predicted for the Shuttle (40 flights a year if I recall correctly), an RLV of this type is not cost-effective.<br /><br />The needs of ESA that would be answered by a Hermes-style craft would be better resolved by the use of a small CEV-style shuttle, or Soyuz-stype capsule. Ariane can lift their cargos -- they just need a means to send people to orbit. <br /><br />Like the shuttle, the Hermes would be unlikely to do anything more than LEO. A smaller manned vehicle that was not designed to carry cargo would possibly be upgradeable for HEO use or potentially even lunar missions.<br /><br />For reducing the costs of sending cargo to orbit -- their 'Hopper' concept mentioned earlier might well work. It at least has the <b>possibility</b> of launching cargo at rates below that of ELVs.