<p><BR/>Replying to:<BR/><DIV CLASS='Discussion_PostQuote'>While I suspect you're correct wrt the ability to focus a reflector, what are the limitations imposed by physics ? At the limits imposed by physics, would we be better of using a reflector or a laser ? Then we can talk about Here's my off the cuff, cart before the horse, thinking so far. First early detection is a must but there are going to be limits as to how well we can do this. Moreover even if we detect a potential threat and determine it's nature, there's probably very little we can do about it "way out there". I don't see propulsion tech getting that much better in the next 100 years. So sending a physical object to the threat seems unlikely. It would seem then that we're going to have to employ some form of directed energy and hope the threat is vulnerable to such. My general concept is to causing enough outgassing over a long enough period of time that the orbit is changed just enough to miss, at least the initial go around. The question (among many) is whether such outgassing could be controlled (in theory) in a fashion to direct it. For example if the object is rotating can we illuminate one area, on and off, so as to cause outgassing that exerts a force orthogonal to the trajectory? Or would even the most volatile of Oort comets have a large enough thermal time constant so that could never work ? <br />Posted by Mee_n_Mac</DIV></p><p>The physics will tell you a couple of things off the bat. First, you are limited in the temperature at the focused end of the beam to the temperature of the source, in this case the surface of the sun, and the total heat flux applied will be no greater than the heat flux collected. The total flux collected is limited by the size of the collector and that size is limited by the ability to steer and aim it. The temperature basically is a limitation on how much one can concentrate the collected energy.</p><p>Secondly, physics tells you that the ability to concentrate the collected energy is dependent on the ability to focus the beam to a small spot size (the minimum size of the spot limited as previously) at the location of the incoming body. In theory one can make a mirror or a lens with an arbitrarily long focal length. The trick will be to make that focal length adjustable and to adjust it to focus on the incomer as it moves. That will involve some tricky pointing and focusing. I am not sure how you do that. I am thinking that this body will be quite far away, and the time delay due to speed of light considerations will be a significant factor in any automatic focusing scheme -- i.e. if you could somehow see the spot it would be the spot as it was several minutes ago. The algorithm from the old Nikon isn't gonna work.</p><p>If the incomer is very big it is likely to take quite a bit of momentum change to make a difference. Maybe not big relative to the momentum of the body itself, but a lot of lb-seconds by ordinary standards. (It would be interesting to see detailed calculations from a really good computer model for a hypothetical case, to determine what is required to deflect something just enough to turn a collision into a near miss.) To apply that momentum you will need to either vaporize a lot of material or to have it leave the body at high velocity or, more likely, a bit of both. The ability to do that with directed energy is going to be quite dependent on the composition of the body itself. If it contains a lot of relatively volatile material, water, frozen methane, etc. that will be easier to accomplish than if it is mostly rock and iron. On the other hand, I would think that the threat would be greater from a mostly rock and iron asteroid.</p><p>Given the really huge (astronomical) distances involved and the nature of beam divergence, I am not particularly optimistic about the ability to do much with directed energy. If I were to hazard a guess I would think the most likely effective action would be to 1) develop nuclear propulsion for deep space application and 2) use nuclear power to destroy and/or divert an incoming asteroid. For item 1) I think a nuclear thermal propulsion system using either hydrogen or ammonia as the working fluid is the most likely candidate. It would probably have other applications for manned interplanetary flight as well. For item 2) I think that the propulsion system described for the Orion project, use of bombs to provide propulsion, has potential. You might be able to provide a bit of impulse to the asteroid in just that manner, and not have to worry much about pusher plates. Or if you could manage to place a bomb in the interior of the asteroid and split it you might divert the fragments away from Earth. The momentum of the system would remain unchanged, but nobody gets hurt in a collision with a center of gravity if there is nothing at that center. Of course there is the minor problem that the necessary propulsion technology does not exist at this moment.</p><p>I am personally a bit intrigued by the idea of using a nuclear thermal rocket to go to the offending asteroid, carrying a really big thermonuclear bomb. Say something like 100 megatons, which I believe was developed by the Russians but only demonstrated at half that yield. If something like that was detonated on the surface of an asteroid, properly oriented. then perhaps it would provide enough momentum to deflect the orbit enough to avoid a collision and maybe to send the asteroid eventually into the sun. I am not quite sure how to calculate the momentum applied by such a scheme but if the Orion notion of getting roughtly 100 fps from a single moderate blast into something the size of a battleship is correct, then a really big bomb might move a sizeable asteroid enough to be of interest. </p> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> </div>