<p><BR/>Replying to:<BR/><DIV CLASS='Discussion_PostQuote'>Note those articles are from 2000. Since then Iridium has been functioning, and in fact are planning to launch a new constellation of satellites. There is a thread on the subject in Space Business and Technology if you want to catch up on the recent info. <br />Posted by MeteorWayne</DIV><br /><br />Thanks MW, I looked up that thread again.</p><p>Regardless, as things go, I still don't see that big of a 'need' for Iridiums, even with US military useage (I am quite aware that we have been using these to coordinate Special Forces in Afghanistan).</p><p>I am balancing the needs for Iridiums, versus the danger of future collisions, and also including into this risk the knowledge that Iridiums are not shifted when 'conjunction reports' are issued (not that this may help very much anyways).</p><p>Since all of the Iridiums are orbiting at the same height, in intersecting polar orbits, their risk of future collisions with the debris trails of the last two smahed satellites is very high, since their orbital height coincides with the center of mass of the debris trails; and even as the debris trials scatter, the trail will remained centered near this height for the next decade or so. If there is another Iridium collision, there will be another debris trail to intersect, which leads to another collision, etc, etc until we have created a broad swath of orbital space peppered with the 100's K pieces of debris of 60+ Iridiums (and other sats at that orbital height).</p><p>It will take 5-20 years for the iridium chain reaction destruction to play out. It may be 1-5 years before the next iridium strike. The thirds strike will come quicker. Then the 4th. Then a strike every month or so, then every week or so...until some bright bulb gets the idea to de-orbit the remainders. Of course by then the Iridium debris trails will be intersecting the approximately 100 other sats at similar orbital heights. We'll probably have to de-orbit all of them, and these are very valuable sats for weather, communications, national defense, earth surveying (see my other thread for the list of working sats at this orbital height)</p><p>This barrage of debris will become a disaster for future space exploration.</p><p><strong>Sadly, it is time to de-orbit Iridium.</strong> We should have done this in 1999, when Motorola first threatened to do so. if we do so, hopefully we should be able to save the other much more valuable sats which share similar orbital height.s</p><p>(It will be fun to go back to this thread in 5-10 years from now, and see if I was right.)</p> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature" align="center"><em><font color="#0000ff">- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -</font></em> </div><div class="Discussion_UserSignature" align="center"><font color="#0000ff"><em>I really, really, really miss the "first unread post" function.</em></font> </div> </div>