When will Exoplanet 1000 be discovered??

[MeteorWayne]

This is an unofficial friendly contest among the SDC illuminati <img src="/images/icons/laugh.gif" /><br /><br />When will Planet 1000 be discovered??<br /><br />Pick your date now, they could go fast <img src="/images/icons/wink.gif" /><br /><br />Still to be determined:<br /><br />What is considered a discovery?<br />Please state how you think the end of the Exo1000 contest should be determined. Online in Nature , Science, A&A? Or real publish date?<br />I would prefer we not trust the media...even our beloved SDC <img src="/images/icons/smile.gif" /><br /><br />Since it's a "friendly" we shall refine the rules later.<br /><br />After we decide on final rules, you will have one chance to change your date.<br /><br />If you wish your pick to be clandestine, feel free to PM me <img src="/images/icons/smile.gif" /><br /><br />Wayne<br /><br /> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p><font color="#000080"><em><font color="#000000">But the Krell forgot one thing John. Monsters. Monsters from the Id.</font></em> </font></p><p><font color="#000080">I really, really, really, really miss the "first unread post" function</font><font color="#000080"> </font></p> </div>

 

[dragon04]

9/13/2014<br /><br />You heard it here first. <img src="/images/icons/wink.gif" /> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <em>"2012.. Year of the Dragon!! Get on the Dragon Wagon!".</em> </div>

 

[witgenestone]

Can one say never? If not never then 4th of july 2013!

 

[heyscottie]

September 13, 2012.<br /><br />(I'm not just copying Dragon; it's my birthday!)

 

[junkheap]

August 14, 2008

 

[robnissen]

Nov. 5, 2011 (going the birthday route)

 

[jaxtraw]

*Gazes into crystal ball*<br /><br />February 6th 2012, at 4:17:32am, by a tall Venezuelan wearing a peaked hat, who lives near a place where jars are kept.

 

[qso1]

November 6, 2017.<br /><br />I can relate to this. In my graphic novels, I originally showed a blurb on the discovery of the 1,000the earthlike world in 2025. I since reduced the number when I tightened the definition of earthlike for my books. <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p><strong>My borrowed quote for the time being:</strong></p><p><em>There are three kinds of people in life. Those who make it happen, those who watch it happen...and those who do not know what happened.</em></p> </div>

 

[majornature]

July 18, 3050 <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <font size="2" color="#14ea50"><strong><font size="1">We are born.  We live.  We experiment.  We rot.  We die.  and the whole process starts all over again!  Imagine That!</font><br /><br /><br /><img id="6e5c6b4c-0657-47dd-9476-1fbb47938264" style="width:176px;height:247px" src="http://sitelife.space.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/14/4/6e5c6b4c-0657-47dd-9476-1fbb47938264.Large.jpg" alt="blog post photo" width="276" height="440" /><br /></strong></font> </div>

 

[3488]

21 December 2008.<br /><br />Why majornature do you think it will be 1,043 years time???<br /><br />Andrew Brown. <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p><font color="#000080">"I suddenly noticed an anomaly to the left of Io, just off the rim of that world. It was extremely large with respect to the overall size of Io and crescent shaped. It seemed unbelievable that something that big had not been visible before".</font> <em><strong><font color="#000000">Linda Morabito </font></strong><font color="#800000">on discovering that the Jupiter moon Io was volcanically active. Friday 9th March 1979.</font></em></p><p><font size="1" color="#000080">http://www.launchphotography.com/</font><br /><br /><font size="1" color="#000080">http://anthmartian.googlepages.com/thisislandearth</font></p><p><font size="1" color="#000080">http://web.me.com/meridianijournal</font></p> </div>

 

[derekmcd]

My birthday has shown up twice... I win!!! <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <div> </div><br /><div><span style="color:#0000ff" class="Apple-style-span">"If something's hard to do, then it's not worth doing." - Homer Simpson</span></div> </div>

 

[3488]

Would not be 13 September by any chance, would it??????<br /><br />Andrew Brown. <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p><font color="#000080">"I suddenly noticed an anomaly to the left of Io, just off the rim of that world. It was extremely large with respect to the overall size of Io and crescent shaped. It seemed unbelievable that something that big had not been visible before".</font> <em><strong><font color="#000000">Linda Morabito </font></strong><font color="#800000">on discovering that the Jupiter moon Io was volcanically active. Friday 9th March 1979.</font></em></p><p><font size="1" color="#000080">http://www.launchphotography.com/</font><br /><br /><font size="1" color="#000080">http://anthmartian.googlepages.com/thisislandearth</font></p><p><font size="1" color="#000080">http://web.me.com/meridianijournal</font></p> </div>

 

[kmarinas86]

Feburary 29, 2012

 

[mithridates]

I'm guessing 2010. If we've got to pick an exact date then I'll just go with my birthday then: September 11th.<br /><br />(yes, that really is my birthday) <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p>----- </p><p>http://mithridates.blogspot.com</p> </div>

 

[deapfreeze]

January 7 2014 <img src="/images/icons/wink.gif" /> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p><font size="2" color="#0000ff"><em>William ( deapfreeze ) Hooper</em></font></p><p><font size="1">http://deapfreeze-amateur-astronomy.tk/</font></p><p> </p> </div>

 

[abq_farside]

Well according to Exoplanets.org there are 209 known exoplanets around nearby stars (within 200 parsecs). I saw another site that had the total number at 230+ so I am not sure what the exact number is right now but it seems to be increasing fast.<br /><br />So lets say we still need to find 700+ exoplanets, then I am guessing in about 4 years as we will get better at finding them. <br /><br />We will hit #1000: June 6, 2011. <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p> </p><p><em><font size="1" color="#000080">Don't let who you are keep you from becoming who you want to be!</font></em></p> </div>

 

[h2ouniverse]

The current rate is slowing. But CoRoT is going to find some. Kepler will add feww hundreds more from 2008. ALMA an GAIA should be operational by 2011 and will detect them by the thousands. So I do not believe in dates beyond 2012.<br /><br />My bet: Feb 2nd 2011 (for pancakes'day).<br /><br />I also bet that to be sure they will get the 1000th, teams wil stop announcing discoveries at say 950, cumulate batches of a hundred ones or so, and announce the batch. Within minutes, other batches of 100 will be announced by the other teams, claiming anteriority on the 1000th. So the count should go directly from about 950 to 1400, on Feb 2nd 2011.<br />I demand an internationnally appointed High Referee Committee to decide whether we have reached 1000 or not. As abq points out, the counts are not consistent. JPL's one looks a little bit conservative. Others are blatantly optimist. Should the bodies discovered in 1992 around pulsars be counted as planets? And dark-dark-brown dwarves? Exomoons if we find some?<br /><br />

 

[centsworth_II]

<font color="yellow">"I demand an internationnally appointed High Referee <br />Committee to decide whether we have reached 1000 or not. "</font><br /><br />I think the type of exoplanet will be much more important than <br />which is number 1000. A Team's claim to fame for having the 1000th <br />will mean nothing compared to a team with the most Earth-like planet. <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> </div>

 

[pyoko]

Anyone have a 3D view of the current exoplanets found? <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p> </p><p> </p><p><span style="color:#ff9900" class="Apple-style-span">-pyoko</span> <span style="color:#333333" class="Apple-style-span">the</span> <span style="color:#339966" class="Apple-style-span">duck </span></p><p><span style="color:#339966" class="Apple-style-span"><span style="color:#808080;font-style:italic" class="Apple-style-span">It is by will alone I set my mind in motion.</span></span></p> </div>

 

[qso1]

http://www.extrasolar.net/<br /><br />All kinds of 3D stuff at the above link. <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p><strong>My borrowed quote for the time being:</strong></p><p><em>There are three kinds of people in life. Those who make it happen, those who watch it happen...and those who do not know what happened.</em></p> </div>

 

[weeman]

<blockquote><font class="small">In reply to:</font><hr /><p> July 18, 3050 <p><hr /></p></p></blockquote> <br /><br />I hope by then we are doing a lot more with space exploration than just observing planets from Earth-based telescopes!!<br /><br />I'd say that in another ten years or so we will make it to 1,000. <br /><br />July 18th, 2017<br /><br /> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p> </p><p><strong><font color="#ff0000">Techies: We do it in the dark. </font></strong></p><p><font color="#0000ff"><strong>"Put your hand on a stove for a minute and it seems like an hour. Sit with that special girl for an hour and it seems like a minute. That's relativity.</strong><strong>" -Albert Einstein </strong></font></p> </div>

 

[dragon04]

I want to change my prediction.<br /><br />6/29/2013<br /><br />6.29 gallons of gas cost me $20.13 earlier today.<br /><br /> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <em>"2012.. Year of the Dragon!! Get on the Dragon Wagon!".</em> </div>

 

[deapfreeze]

Telling the future at the pump. New slogan for major gas companies. <img src="/images/icons/smile.gif" /> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p><font size="2" color="#0000ff"><em>William ( deapfreeze ) Hooper</em></font></p><p><font size="1">http://deapfreeze-amateur-astronomy.tk/</font></p><p> </p> </div>

 

[majornature]

Well yes if our technology doesn't advance to the next level.<br /><br />It was just a guess. <br /><br />I'll make another prediction...I'll soon be 23 in July. So maybe when I reach the age of 40 the exoplanet will be discovered. <img src="/images/icons/wink.gif" /><img src="/images/icons/laugh.gif" /> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <font size="2" color="#14ea50"><strong><font size="1">We are born.  We live.  We experiment.  We rot.  We die.  and the whole process starts all over again!  Imagine That!</font><br /><br /><br /><img id="6e5c6b4c-0657-47dd-9476-1fbb47938264" style="width:176px;height:247px" src="http://sitelife.space.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/14/4/6e5c6b4c-0657-47dd-9476-1fbb47938264.Large.jpg" alt="blog post photo" width="276" height="440" /><br /></strong></font> </div>

 

[majornature]

Hey my birthday came up twice too. It's a tie<img src="/images/icons/wink.gif" /> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <font size="2" color="#14ea50"><strong><font size="1">We are born.  We live.  We experiment.  We rot.  We die.  and the whole process starts all over again!  Imagine That!</font><br /><br /><br /><img id="6e5c6b4c-0657-47dd-9476-1fbb47938264" style="width:176px;height:247px" src="http://sitelife.space.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/14/4/6e5c6b4c-0657-47dd-9476-1fbb47938264.Large.jpg" alt="blog post photo" width="276" height="440" /><br /></strong></font> </div>