C
comga
Guest
It can't end with Calli's post because many would say that it is wrong. Before we can end it we would have to agree on the meaning of "dead end" . <br /><br />The model-T was a success because future cars built on the same assembly line system with an internal combustion engine, turn by operating the front tires with a steering wheel, etc. The Stanley Steamer was a dead end.<br /><br />The Spruce Goose was a dead end, as lightweight landing gear obviated the sea plane. The X-15 was a spaectacular, wonderful, and highly successful plane, but it was to a degree a dead end in that no one was able to develope a usable system for manned hypersonic or orbital flight based on it. However, it was part of the path to the Pegasus, which used the same B-52 for its initial flights, albeit without a pilot and with solid rocket engines. <br /><br />Buran was a dead end for the same reason the Shuttle was a dead end. Bringing a 100 ton capsule back to Earth after delivering 20 tons can never be economical. However, Buran was also a programatic and political failure whereas the Shuttle has had a great many successes. However, the Shuttle *IS* a technological dead end because even NASA is using very little of the technolgy for the next generation. No wings, no dropped fuel tank, no non-ablative heat shield, no reusable engines, no wheeled runway landings or ground landings of any kind. Even the Stick and SRBs for the Ares-V are essentially new rockets. They reuse only the casing, which are a fraction of the cost and of marginal economics. It is an economic dead end because we have spent well over $1B per flight if you amoritize all the costs.<br /><br />Apollo was a spectactular, wonderful, historic, patriotic, and yes, scientific success. All of us wish we still had those vehicles and capabilities. However, it was a dead end in that it was an unsustainable system. We lost Apollo 18, 19, and 20, even though they were completely built, because it cost more to operate than was