SRB Combustion Instability Forecast <br /> (Intro, STS-114, STS-115)<br /><br /> As you may know, PROBLEMS (especially WIND SHEARS) cluster after Drying-out incidents.<br /><br /> Condition: B<br /> (both Challenger & Columbia were F: predicted fatality) (Galileo was E, for being after a minor Tropical Storm, & Satelite Loss prediction was sent (the day-before Launch Deluge on Columbia was a LOT worse ).<br /> ( E = satelite almost certain Major degradation: antenna fouling/shorts/failure to fit, track, or unfold ).<br /> <br /> There was little rain (.3 inches in 14 days) at Melbourne, Florida (nearest Noaa data).<br /><br /> Actually, a bit dry, or would be A+. (Challenger had half the Relative Humidity of any other flight; STS-4 - - the "Drought" flight, had the SRBs run out early, implying fuel lumping, with partly-burnt chunks expelled (almost certainly the causes of the identical Elevon Actuator holes in Challenger & Columbia), the low orbit remeiniscent of Columbia's loss, or the 3rd of 3 failed Boeing tests a few years ago, the one they lied about & got fined).<br /><br /> As you may know, I forecast the Titan IV SRMU explosion, and internal sensors showed what I predicted (multiple internal pressure spikes). After-the fact explanations ( "fuel slumping" ) were hoaked up later, but fail to explain subsequent explosions.<br /><br /> Internal SRB sensors were banned after that (presumably because they would prove my Theory Correct).<br /><br /> Will do this before every flight. <br /> --------------<br /><br />STS-115: A<br /><br />There was a Trace ot Rain, 2 days ago. Of Course this is Melbourne Data: the big Rain on Columbia was missed, I found -- here, we have Thunderstorms as 1-3% of the offshore area. Hope they miss.<br /><br />PS BOY DID I MISS THE LAST ONE. Should have called it "D" ... WAY too much like STS-4 (the Drought flight)<br />although that was long-term dry, here we had a "brief Desert-climate) -- .03 inches in previous 13 days