<p><BR/>Replying to:<BR/><DIV CLASS='Discussion_PostQuote'>Actually it's a debate about "physics" and the proper use of scientific language.The "physics" behind this process is "circuit reconnection' and "induction" and has nothing whatsoever to do with magnetic reconnection. Magnetic field lines cannot and do not "reconnect". </DIV></p><p>Yes, but we've established that already. Nothing but the name itself claims lines disconnect/reconnect. If the math the theory is based on is induction/circuit/particle reconnection as you say it is, then how does it predict things such as jets which would not be predicted by a circuit model? </p><p>Replying to:<BR/><DIV CLASS='Discussion_PostQuote'>If I recall their magnetic reconnection model "predicts" an energy release in the form of two "jet like" directional discharges of current. It was probably that directional oriented proess that caused them to botch the predictions. Energy isn't released in directional jets, it just "flows in" from the heliosphere. <br /> Posted by michaelmozina</DIV></p><p>They identified the substorm onset as, quoting from the paper,</p><p>Replying to:<BR/><DIV CLASS='Discussion_PostQuote'> The ground signatures of substorms consist of a rapid auroral intensification, a breakup of auroral forms into smaller filaments, a poleward expansion and a westward surge of the most intense auroral arcs.</DIV></p><p>This signature is what they would have been trying to predict, if they intended to predict anything. Substorms are divided into three phases: growth, onset, and recovery. Since the growth phase is very gradual, it is a little ambiguous to identify the storms based on this phase. They focused on the onset, which is the most easily identifiable part of the substorm. All of those things in the quote can be identified by using the AE index combined with irregular pulsations in the data(Pi2s). The paper identified a few storms using this technique, and then looked back at the conditions in the magnetotail prior to the onset. They found a relationship between what they believed to be reconnection, which would call circuit reconnection or whatever you want, and a following substorm onset. There was no prediction involved, only a search for a pattern. They found that reconnection, or as you'd say, circuit/particle reconnection, preceded substorm onset by a couple minutes. </p><p>I find your blanket statement of "energy isn't released in directional jets" questionable since energy is often seen in directional jets in a variety of physical circumstances. They used "intense dipolarization" as their interpretation of when reconnection occurs. This was observed by their satellites, they didn't just make it up. Whether it is reconnection or circuit reconnection shouldn't matter if they are the same model, as you claim. The fact is this signature preceded substorm onset in the cases they observed. The time it took from this signature to substorm onset is commensurate with the speed of the energetic particles in the magnetosphere(about 500 km/sec) to get to the probe location from the magnetotail. This would indicate that the source population of the substorm is likely the magnetotail. </p><p>The point I'm trying to make here, along with trying to clarify what exactly the THEMIS paper was all about because that still seems to be unclear, is that IF magnetic reconnection can be and is explained by circuit reconnection models, as you say it is based on the math, then they are essentially the same thing. This is what you have been arguing. If this were truly the case, then the fact that magnetic reconnection models can't predict substorm onset reliably yet means that circuit reconnection/induction models can't either. If you take this sentence out of context it seems like a leap, but you say they are the same thing, so it's really not. I don't necessarily agree that they are the same, but if they were, my argument would apply, and it makes me curious as to what your actual problem with reconnection is, aside from the name. Is it just that they seemingly don't give direct credit to Alfven(which they do all the time) or other EU theorists by calling it something they wouldn't? This is not a "snipe" attempt, to be clear, in reference to the mod post. I am genuinely confused as to what exactly you are trying to argue now. </p> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> </div>