STS-114 Mission Update Thread

[shuttle_rtf]

I don't believe the 14th is a launch date. <br /><br />"The Americans can launch it anytime from July 13 to 31, except July 14 and 16," the Russian spokesman said.

 

[bpcooper]

Yes, July 14 and 16 are launch dates. <br /><br />I noted to Anik after that post on your forum that a second ISS maneuver will be performed July 6 to allow for FD-3 docking ops on every day in about the first ten days of the window. <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p>-Ben</p> </div>

 

[shuttle_rtf]

Helps if I read my own forum lol.

 

[rocketwatcher2001]

For very personal and selfish reasons, I hope it's bumped back to at least the 18th, I'll be in Mexico for work until then. On another, semi-related note, in a way I'll be a little sad after STS-114 is completed. A good friend of mine will return to Japan once the mission is done.<br /><br />But enough of this crying stuff, LET'S LIGHT THIS CANDLE!!!!!! <img src="/images/icons/cool.gif" /> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> </div>

 

[grooble]

It's so close. 13 days.

 

[shuttle_rtf]

How good is weather prediction for florida?<br /><br />In England we can sometimes go 12 to 14 days ahead and be pretty accurate....mind you, I think we have very stable patterns to predict coming over the Atlantic.

 

[shuttle_rtf]

Thansk SG. All the best with the hypergolic issue.<br /><br />

 

[bpcooper]

Would have probably been go today...was blue sky over KSC at 3:51, nearest storm edge was about 20 mi to the NW. <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p>-Ben</p> </div>

 

[grooble]

It's real close now. I bet those astronauts' blood is really pumping.

 

[ozspace]

Looks like some morning showers at the cape, oh and they seem to be giving some aliens an "up close" tour!

 

[botch]

<font color="yellow">It's real close now. I bet those astronauts' blood is really pumping.</font><br /><br />People can say what they want about the shuttles, but it's still great to have them flying again....WOOOHOOOOO!!!<br />They're a sight that has been sorely missed, and i'm going to be cheering when it leaves the pad again.

 

[najab]

Is anyone else worried about Cindy and moreso Dennis?

 

[drwayne]

I would bet Cindy is a non-factor, but Dennis may yet be a different story. It is in an envoriment favoring strengthening.<br /><br />Wayne <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p>"1) Give no quarter; 2) Take no prisoners; 3) Sink everything."  Admiral Jackie Fisher</p> </div>

 

[shuttle_rtf]

MLP people at KSC being told to prepare for a rollback. No idea what is causing this rumour. Checking through other people. Anyone here know more?

 

[shuttle_rtf]

Checked with one actual MLP person and he said he's still on a for a 12 hour shift, but they are being told to be prepared. Concern is a tropical depression.

 

[najab]

><i>MLP people at KSC being told to prepare for a rollback. No idea what is causing this rumour.</i><p>My guess would be it's a contingency for Dennis. Long range predictions have it coming ashore possibly in west Florida around the 10th.</p>

 

[shuttle_rtf]

>Is anyone else worried about Cindy and moreso Dennis? <<br /><br />OH, I wondered what that meant, and these are the names of the storms that are fueling this rollback rumour, right?

 

[drwayne]

Tropical storm Dennis is probably your problem.<br /><br />Here are the models:<br /><br />http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200504_model.html<br /><br />Conditions are favorable for significant strengthening.<br /><br />Wayne <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p>"1) Give no quarter; 2) Take no prisoners; 3) Sink everything."  Admiral Jackie Fisher</p> </div>

 

[drwayne]

From the above link - discussion:<br /><br />Tropical Storm Dennis Discussion Number 3 <br /><br /><br />Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on July 05, 2005<br /><br /><br />Banding features are becoming better defined and...based on a Dvorak<br />classification of t2.5 from TAFB...the cyclone is being named. <br />This is the earliest date ever to have four named tropical cyclones<br />in the Atlantic Basin. The storm will be in a low-shear and high<br />oceanic heat content environment for the next several days...so<br />further strengthening is likely. The official intensity forecast<br />may be conservative at the longer range...but there is little if<br />any skill in intensity change prediction at days 4-5.<br />Dennis is moving a little north of west near 16 kt as a result of a<br />deep easterly steering flow to the south of the subtropical high. <br />A general west-northwestward track with a little deceleration is<br />predicted. This is similar to the previous forecast and in good<br />agreement with the dynamical model consensus. Because of<br />uncertainty in longer-range track predictions...it is too early to<br />speculate on what portions of the U.S. Might be threatened.<br />A tropical storm watch has been issued for a portion of Hispaniola<br />at this time.<br />Forecaster Pasch<br /> <br /> <br />forecast positions and Max winds<br /> <br />initial 05/1500z 13.3n 66.6w 35 kt<br /> 12hr VT 06/0000z 14.4n 68.7w 40 kt<br /> 24hr VT 06/1200z 15.9n 71.5w 50 kt<br /> 36hr VT 07/0000z 17.4n 74.1w 60 kt<br /> 48hr VT 07/1200z 18.9n 76.6w 65 kt<br /> 72hr VT 08/1200z 21.5n 81.0w 70 kt<br /> 96hr VT 09/1200z 23.5n 83.5w 75 kt<br />120hr VT 10/1200z 26.0n 86.0w 75 kt<br /><br /> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p>"1) Give no quarter; 2) Take no prisoners; 3) Sink everything."  Admiral Jackie Fisher</p> </div>

 

[drwayne]

Yes, the models have it heading generally towards my neck of the woods.<br /><br />Wayne <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <p>"1) Give no quarter; 2) Take no prisoners; 3) Sink everything."  Admiral Jackie Fisher</p> </div>

 

[shuttle_rtf]

I know ****** all about these storm predictions, but those models have it missing KSC?

 

[najab]

We're going to have to rename West Florida "Hurricane Alley" if this keeps up!

 

[najab]

><i>I know ****** all about these storm predictions, but those models have it missing KSC?</i><p>First off, tropical cyclone predictions are next to useless more than about 48 hours out, the models diverge <b>very</b> widely, and it's hard to know which is the most accurate from storm to storm. Second, the model only tracks the eye of the storm. A good sized Hurricane can have 74 knot winds out 100 miles either side of the centre, and 35 knot winds out 200 miles or more on either side.</p>

 

[nacnud]

Where did the picture of the SRB come from? It really shows just how big the STS is. I've love to see more pics like this.

 

[shuttle_rtf]

Here mate:<br /><br />http://science.ksc.nasa.gov/shuttle/countdown/video/video45lh.html