speedfreek - Yes, and thank you for the invitation to be more scientific about it.<br /><br />For starters, origin of life simulation experiments produce racemic, not chiral, mixtures including amino acids.<br /><br />If we select only amino acids, and only the 20 used for life (which involves much intelligent selecting, not chance), then we can calculate a simple probability for part of what is necessary to form a protein by chance.<br /><br />Life uses 100% L-amino acids (i.e. left hand polarized) and is therefore chiral. Chirality effects 3-d shape and positioning of reactive sites - very important of life's processes (e.g.: enzymes and receptors).<br /><br />Selecting only L-amino acids by chance is 50-50 for the first one, but there are many amino acids in a simple protein.<br /><br />Astronomer Fred Hoyle, in "Evolution from Space," 1981, pages 24-27, calculates some of the steps involved in chance synthesis of a protein, specifically a protein enzyme.<br /><br />Hoyle considers only the sequence order, not chirality, in reaching a probability of 10^20 for a functioning enzyme.<br /><br />Of course, factoring in chance selection of a chiral sequence greatly reduces the odd. <br /><br />As I am sick, I will postpone detailed analysis on chirality and stick with Hoyle's calculations.<br /><br />Hoyle then notes that one enzyme does not equal life. Rather he notes that there are 2,000 enzymes, such that the probability of chance synthesis of all 2,000 would be 10^20^2000 = 10^40,000.<br /><br />Hoyle then states, on page 24:<br /><br />"If one is not prejudiced either by social beliefs or by a scientific training into the conviction that life originated on the earth, this simple calculation wipes the idea entirely out of court."<br /><br />That is not the end of the matter - remember, Hoyle does not include probability of chance selection of chiral amino acids (all L-amino acids out of a racemic mixture of 50% L-amino acids.)<br /><br />Hoyle also does not consider selection of the cor