Quick rough sketches:<br /><br /><b>Architecture 1: Inline SDHLV plus LEO CEV</b><br /><ul type="square"><li>Develop LEO CEV and booster (e.g., single stick SRB).<li>Develop inline SDHLV plus Lunar CEV<li>ISS mission, 1 launch of LEO CEV<li>Lunar mission, 1 launch of Lunar CEV on SDHLV<br /></li></li></li></li></ul><br /><b>Architecture 2: Inline SDHLV only</b><br /><ul type="square"><li>Develop inline SDHLV plus Lunar CEV<li>ISS mission, buy Soyuz launch or commercial launch<li>Lunar mission, 1 launch of Lunar CEV on SDHLV<br /></li></li></li></ul><br /><b>Architecture 3: Side-mounted SDHLV plus LEO CEV</b><br /><ul type="square"><li>Develop LEO CEV and booster (e.g., single stick SRB).<li>Develop side-mounted SDHLV plus Lunar CEV<li>ISS mission, 1 launch of LEO CEV<li>Lunar mission, 2 launches: (SRB + LEO CEV) and (SDHLV)<br /></li></li></li></li></ul><br /><b>Architecture 4: Side-mounted SDHLV only</b><br /><ul type="square"><li>Develop side-mounted SDHLV plus Lunar CEV<li>ISS mission, buy Soyuz launch or commercial launch<li>Lunar mission, 2 launches: (Soyuz or commercial CXV) and (SDHLV)<br /></li></li></li></ul><br /><b>Architecture 5: Side-mounted SDHLV only, version 2</b><br /><ul type="square"><li>Develop side-mounted SDHLV plus Lunar CEV that remains in orbit<li>ISS mission, buy Soyuz launch or commercial launch<li>First Lunar mission, 2 launches: (Soyuz or commercial CXV) and (SDHLV)<li>Subsequent Lunar missions, 2 launches: (Soyuz or commercial CXV) and (EELV, Falcon V, or something for Propellant)<br /></li></li></li></li></ul><br />Obviously each architecture has different initial development costs, operational costs, development risks (oops, found this is harder than we thought), operational risks (e.g., launching two rockets within a short window of time), dependency risks (hoping commercial providers step forward, or we remain happy with Russia), etc.<br /><br />My leanings of the current second (subject to change at any time <img src="/images/icons/smile.gif" />) is Architecture 4. It provides the quickest and cheapest path to Lunar landing.