<p>Just a note: the Boltzmann brain idea was actually a counterargument to Boltzmann's idea, and it it Boltzmanns idea that is most relevant here.</p><p>As far as I can tell Boltzmann was suggesting that we dont need a reason for the big bang or any similar event. So long as space is infinite, random fluctuations of arbitrary scales have to happen. Even if a single virtual particle only emerges every few eons, in an infinite space and time larger structures will emerge now and again.</p><p> If we can only be around to make observations in one of these universes then the fact we witness a universe does not tell us anything about the probability of that universe. So if our explanation does not need any particular probability then 'total fluke' is a perfectly acceptable explanation.</p><p>In this case you might as well say that the universe needs no reason to exist except to be observed.</p><p>(The Boltzmann brain counterargument is that if this were the only reason for a universe to exist, then the universe would be the smallest necessary, in fact just a brain capable of "I think therefore I.. oh darn" before expiring.)</p>