<p><BR/>Replying to:<BR/><DIV CLASS='Discussion_PostQuote'>The only thing the he actually "discovered" is that both of the magnetic reconnection models failed to accurately predict the order of events in the energy transfer process that generates aurora.When the principal investigator is saying things that are obviously not true, I really start to wonder about rest of the "interpretations" we might hope to get from this THEMIS mission. They falsified both models. That's all that they actually "discovered".Which is exactly why I listened to the entire audio interview and I read the materials he wrote before commenting on his statements.This notion of "stretch" is really misleading since "flow" would actually be a better term for the energy exchange process. It's never ending. Here by the way is a really good link to daily MHD simulation movies of this energy exchange process.http://www2.nict.go.jp/y/y223/simulation/realtime/home.html It's not simply an induction driven "snap" like process. They used a rubber band analogy during the interview whereas they should have used a "river" or current "flow" analogy. The energy exchange is constant, it simply varies substantially from time to time both in terms of speed and density as the solar wind varies in speed and density. Here is a statement of faith, since it is certainly not a statement of fact. How exactly does a magnetic field (made of very light plasma) "store" energy exactly? This notion of magnetic fields "storing"" energy was repreated throughout the presentation, but then no one bothered to explain how energy is "stored" in magnetic field is that essentially composed of moving charged particles. Care to explain that storage process in some detail and explain how this "magnetic reconnection" process might be any different than say "induction" which is a better understood physical process related to electromagnetism?This is quite a "who's who" of scientists. Not one of them bothered to mention that Alfven was a critic of magnetic reconection theory or that Birkeland offered a competing model.Birkeland demonstrated that a "flowing" bombardment of a metallic magnetic sphere in a vacuum with "electrons" does indeed produce the patterns we observe in aurora. He also showed that it required constant current flow to generate this event. When did these folks do that with "magnetic reconnection" before making this bold and rather unbelievable (certainly unsupportable) statement? A simple "flinging" or "snapping" effect would not result in a steady stream on energy that is necessary to power aurora for hours and days. Like DrRocket's coil analogy, you might get some sort of temporary induction process inside the plasma from a collapse in the current flow from the sun and the "snap" in the magnetosphere that might result from the change in the field. They did however fail to demonstrate that a collapsing magnetic field releases a unique form of energy called "magnetic reconnection" that is somehow indistinguishable from ordinary plasma interactions. When was that ever done?Yes, but then they clearly don't understand the unique physical mechanism behind the energy release process of "magnetic reconnection". They don't seem to understand what powers the solar wind. What in the world could make you have faith that they understand this energy release process when it defied both of their "magnetic reconnection" models? That charged particle process was due to sustained current flow in Birkeland's experiments and he could vary the current flow to make the field glow brighter and even go away (at least in visible light) by decresing the flow of electrons. Never did these guys do such a thing with "magnetic reconnection". No, he is claiming that he has "discovered" that "magnetic reconnection" accelerates charged particles and that the magnetic reconnection process causes the aurora. He cannot support either claim based on these observations. Yes but Birkeland used a continously flowing cathode ray as the energy source of his aurora, and he stored and used "electrical energy" to sustain this auroral process for as long as he wanted, not "magnetic reconnection". This group never demonstrated any sort of physical or predictive link betwween auroral events and "magnetic reconnection", in fact they blew both of their own magnetic reconnection models out of the water.Fine. Let's focus on what they did claim and let's take a cold hard honest look at what they actually "discovered".They are attempting to "sterilize" an obviosly *electromagnetic* process and misrepresent it as a "magnetic reconnection" event. They may have "confirmed" that kinetic electrical energy flows through the aurora, but they never demonstrated two of their claims that A) "magnetic reconnection" accelerates plasma and/or charged particles, or that B) that process is somehow related to auroral activity.What? I could have picked every statement he made apart, but I chose to focus on the most important statments he made which are incorrect. They falsified both models they presented. They provided zero in the way of supporting evidence that magnetic reconnection did anything to anything during these observations. Yes there is. The "trigger" of the Northern Lights is *electrical flow*. It is in no way related to "magnetic reconnection" even if there were some kind of induction process going on due to changing *electro*magnetic fields. There is no emprically establsihed link between "magnetic reconnection" and auroral activity. When did they duplicate Birkeland's experiments using "magnetic reconnection" as the powers source? How did they "store" their energy source and how did they sustain this process for hours on end?What? This is a demonstratably false statement. They falsified both models. All they know is that the "event" began in the tail, they certainly don't know the "cause" or the "trigger" as you are calling it. And neither of those things occured in the order they predicted, even though they covered half of the possible combinations. Case closed. Magnetic reconnection "failed" to accurately predict the order of energy exchange event process and therefore these observations can in no way support the notion that "magnetic reconnection" is responsible for these events. PERIOD.No. It could only be "confirmed" by having correctly guessed the next sequence of events, otherwise it's just a "lucky guess", and not even a lucky guess in the final analsys. They could not have missed with both models on the first event since they covered both external bases with two different models. It wasn't a lucky guess, they actually hedged their bets. The only way to "confirm" this energy release proces is related to "magnetic reconnection" rather than some unrelated theory is to accurately predict the sequence of events and they didn't do that. The "trigger" is not determined by the fact that they saw an energy release process ocruring in back of the magnetotail. That is expected in EU theory too and it might be expected in any number of possible theories related to aurora. That is not "confirmation" of anything related to "magnetic reconnection". The only way that they could have confirmed their theory is to have accurately predicted something. They did not. They hedged their bets and took two theories and covered both possible external energy release points so there was no way for both of them to be incorrect both models as long as the Earth is not it's own energy source for aurora. No externally driven theory "predicts" that to be true. They could not have been wrong about which point released energy first since they covered both options and hedged their bets in such a way that the first "prediction" had to match one of the two models. You have conveniently and repeatedly ignored their comments about discovering a "pattern" in these events which they never did. Why did you fail to address this point?It wasn't a "surprise", it was a outright falsification of the second model! If you live by the pure observational sword (test), then you have to be willing to die by it too. That "surprise" demonstated that both popular magnetic reconnection theories were useless at predicting events in space. In fact they couldn't even decide on which model might be right before hand, and both of them were wrong, so the predictive power of this theory is 0 for 2 and has no predictive value and therefore no scientific value whatseover. They "spun" the "suprise" and then claimed it was "evidence" to support "magnetic reconnection". Come on. That "surprise "falsified" the second theory. End of story.The energy had to have originated *somewhere* and they covered both external options. The charged particle entry point is perfectly congruent with Birkeland experiments and a relatively negatively charged heliosphere theory. It is also contruent with the observation of acceleration of solar wind particles and Birkeland's model that dumps huge amounts of electrons into the Earth's atmosphere. How did they then decide that this entry location had anything whatsoever to do with "magnetic reconnection"? That model also bit the dust in the only real "prediction" that was related to "magnetic reconnection". What now? EU theory "predicts" a current flow can originate from the heliosphere and flow into the Earth's magnetotail. How do we decide whether Birkeland's original auroral model is correct or if "magnetic reconnection" was involved in this process? What useful "prediction" did "magnetic reconnection" really make when they couldn't actually "miss" on the first guess on the entry point of the energy? Note that Birkeland's model has several clear advantages already. It explains the acceleration process of those million million mile per hour charged particles that continiously accelerate from the sun. It explains the selective acceleration of HE+2 over HE+1 and explains why protons HE+2 and HE+1 are the most prevelelant ions in solar wind and in that specific order. Note too that the electrons are already in motion in Birkeland's model so no "induction" or "magnetic reconnection" event is necessary to explain the influx of electrons in the magnetotail, and it won't run out of energy once that magnetic field has changed to it's new postiion. Birkeland's model also explains the longevity of these events far better than an induction driven process or a magnetic reconnection driven process. Birkeland's model wins the Occum's razor arguement hands down because it's been emrically demonstrated in controlled conditions, and it requires no new exotic forms of energy to work.The only thing they actually "figured out" is the mechanics of the energy transfer process. They did not "discover" that "magnetic reconnection" was involved in this energy transfer process since both models failed to accurately predict these events.Why? Please explain "why" they believe they have achieved this?Well, Alfven wasn't able to kill of this particular Beast of the theory, so I certainly realize that I'm fighting an uphill battle on this subject. I'm also quite sure that they are busy already working on "posdicted" new set of "predictions" for their next model of "magnetifc reconnection" theory so they can claim that it accurately "predicts" future events. It's rare that we find such a blatent falsification for a theory being "spun" as some kind of "validation", or a clear movement of the goal posts. This one is simply over the top in terms of flaws and misrepsentations of the data and the meaning of these observations.They could not have "missed" on the first "prediction" of the magnetic reconnection models. One of their two models had to match or be close enough to be considered a "correct prediction" unless the Earth itself is the power source of aurora and nobody believes that. The only real "useful" "prediction" then of either model is how accurately it "predicts" the next sequence of events. Both models were falsified by the "surprise" they are talking about. The real "surprise" is that they then turned around and refered to this "surprise" as some kind of "evidence" of magnetic reconnection. Nothing could be further from the truth. If anything they demonstrated the magnetic reconnection is *not* involved in this event since they falsified both popular models. The fact they couldn't even pick on to work with in the first place shows that they really don't know how it works and they can't predict much of anything with this theory. I have never seen a worse paper on the topic of "magnetic reconnection" nor have I seen one so easily picked apart in such a visual way using their own graphs and models. Three simple graphs which they themselves provide, show us that both models were falsified by the results of their observations. The rest of their presentation was pure spin, pure misrepresentation of the "evidence" and just plain bad science IMO. I'm embarassed for them. I've found flaws in papers and presentations before but this is like shooting fish in a barrel. Both models bit the dust. Both failed to provide useful predictions about energy flow. They never established the "cause" or the "trigger" as you call it of these events. They only "discovered" (actually observed) a series of events that "surprised" them because none of their magnetic reconnection models models panned out or correctly predicted the outcome. That's why they were "surprised". What's really hard to believe is the number of misleading and obviously false statements that they made on the website about finding "patterns" that somehow support "magnetic reconnection". The only "pattern" of energy flow that they observed did not match with their pattern of predictions so in no possible way could this data be considered "evidence" in support of magnetic reconnection theory. If anything, it damages the theory significantly. Birkeland's model also predicts that electrons will enter the magnetotail and sometimes Earth could even be hit from the front in his model by a cathode beam depending on the direction of the cathode rays coming back from the sun. In no way did these folks falsify Birkeland original aurora model which was powered by external electrical currents. The teardrop shape of the sun's heliosphere also supports Birkeland's theory, as does the solar wind acceleration and the selective acceleration of light highly positively charged ions in the solar wind. All of these energy "trigger" (observed) events are entirely consistent with EU theory so the first observation of energy transfer in the magnetotail cannot possibly rule out Birkelands basic EU theory in favor of "magnetic reconnection" theory.I'm not the one trying to "sell" a "surprise" as a "verification" based on a "pattern" that didn't match the "prediction" in a "test" without a control mechanism.It's also common knowledge that electrical currents heat plasma to million degree temperatures but the temperature and behaviors of of coronal loops mystify these guys. It's also common knowledge that electrical discharges release gamma reya. x-rays, and pinch neutrons from plasma, and we observe such events in the solar atmosphere which "surprise" them too. It's common knowledge that charge separation can selectively accelerate charge particles and sustain that acceleration over long periods of time, just like we observe in the solar wind, but the solar wind process mystifies them too. It's common knowledge that auroral events can be "triggered" by electron flows, but they keept trying to call it "magnetic reconnection". It's common knowledge that Alfven rejected the idea of "magnetic reconnection" yet they attempted to associated his name with this topic and not one of them bothered to mention that small point. They falsified both models and then made wild claims that are extremely easy to pick apart and that are not supported by their own data! I've honestly never seen a sloppier or more flaw riddled and embarassing paper and presention in my whole life. This was not just a bad presentation, it was a terrible one. I can't believe you're actually defending it frankly. <br /> Posted by michaelmozina</DIV></p><p>That is a huge wall of text that barely addresses any of the points I made. I think our debate has reached its end.</p><p>I have presented what I consider to be a logical, well defined argument that supports the finding of the paper that has been published. I'm sure you consider your argument and rebuttals well defined as well.</p><p>At this point, I'm confident my case, as I have presented it, is more than sufficient that any readers of this thread (if there are any left) will be capable of making a judgement for themselves who has presented a better case that they may choose to follow up with.</p><p>If you think I have neglected to address anything, feel free to point it out (with context)... I will address it.</p><p>This thread is, thankfully, taking a turn to the more technical aspects of magnetic reconnection for which I, freely admitting, am not up to par on. </p><p>From here, I will step aside and let those more inclined to address said aspects do so without me diluting the signal to noise ratio with our attempts at logic.</p><p>Of course, I will gladly continue to follow the thread and chime in should I see what I consider illogical attempts at refutations and rebuttals. </p><p>And, Michael, I added a brief description <strong>
here</strong> to the THEMIS wiki page concerning these recent findings. It's only a few sentences, but I think it is a fair assessment. Here's what I added:</p><p><em>On 26 February 2008, THEMIS probes were able to determine, for the first time, the triggering event for the onset of magnetospheric substorms <sup class="reference">
[8]</sup>. Two of the five probes, positioned approximately one third the distance to the moon, measured events suggesting a
magnetic reconnection event 96 seconds prior to Auroral intensification<sup class="reference">
[9]</sup>. Dr. Vassilis Angelopoulos of the University of California, Los Angeles, who is the principal investigator for the THEMIS mission, claimed, "Our data show clearly and for the first time that magnetic reconnection is the trigger."<sup class="reference">
[10]</sup>.</em></p> <div class="Discussion_UserSignature"> <div> </div><br /><div><span style="color:#0000ff" class="Apple-style-span">"If something's hard to do, then it's not worth doing." - Homer Simpson</span></div> </div>